TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x886a…0944

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,801.8%+$409.58
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.79
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.96
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.34
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.13
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.96
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+199.4%+$41.87
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$21.18
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$31.8
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.84
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+263.9%+$83.4
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.62
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.52
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.32
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.13
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.81
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.01
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+196.5%+$36.01
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$71.55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.45
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$31.92
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-55.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.44
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$85.47
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$31.41
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.36
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+218.3%+$314.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.27
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+207.2%+$67.52
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.16
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$33.59
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-76.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.55
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.31
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.89
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+151.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+259.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+259.4%+$205.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed CF América · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$34.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.