UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x740820445fefe658e503b945b1b52e0ac01068f47c9254369fef57fa1d5cd4d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chidi Njokuaniof Chidi Njokuani, Joel Álvarez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $774,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $751,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Chidi Njokuani | 25c | 200,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,999.83 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Chidi Njokuani | 24c | 170,910$41,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,891.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Joel Álvarez | 66c | 143,185$94,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,552.25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 100,110$74,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,995.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 100,000$75,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,468.59 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joel Álvarez | 26c | 76,592$20,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,154.6 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chidi Njokuani | 25c | 64,385$16,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,268.68 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Joel Álvarez | 74c | 58,510$43,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,497.75 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Chidi Njokuani | 25c | 27,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,249.95 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Joel Álvarez | 74c | 25,669$18,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,995.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 22,570$16,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,920.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Joel Álvarez | 70c | 20,126$14,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,078 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chidi Njokuani | 30c | 19,999$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +134.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…cedebacked Chidi Njokuani | 69c | 18,167$12,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +71%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 12,469$9,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,339.23 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chidi Njokuani | 26c | 12,417$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,245.08 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chidi Njokuani | 26c | 11,368$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,413.78 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Joel Álvarez | 73c | 8,100$5,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,952.99 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed Joel Álvarez | 74c | 7,759$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,741.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Joel Álvarez | 64c | 5,139$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.3 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chidi Njokuani | 49c | 5,066$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chidi Njokuani | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Chidi Njokuani | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Chidi Njokuani | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Joel Álvarez | 73c | 5,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.96 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Chidi Njokuani | 25c | 4,956$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.81 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Chidi Njokuani | 74c | 4,734$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Chidi Njokuani | 25c | 4,425$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.14 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Chidi Njokuani | 70c | 4,148$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Joel Álvarez | 52c | 4,119$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Chidi Njokuani | 75c | 3,935$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.9 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Joel Álvarez | 74c | 3,759$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.7 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked Joel Álvarez | 74c | 3,641$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 3,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Joel Álvarez | 64c | 3,496$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.73 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Chidi Njokuani | 66c | 3,320$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Joel Álvarez | 45c | 3,282$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.62 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1518…2652backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Joel Álvarez | 73c | 2,729$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.97 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Joel Álvarez | 34c | 2,597$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.01 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Chidi Njokuani | 34c | 2,533$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.77 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Joel Álvarez | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.94 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Joel Álvarez | 55c | 2,409$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4bebacked Chidi Njokuani | 49c | 2,405$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.48 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…0fcbbacked Joel Álvarez | 2c | 2,396$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Joel Álvarez | 69c | 2,332$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.91 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Joel Álvarez | 73c | 2,284$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Chidi Njokuani | 77c | 2,184$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.19 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Chidi Njokuani | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Joel Álvarez | 52c | 1,911$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Chidi Njokuani | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Joel Álvarez | 58c | 1,764$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.47 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chidi Njokuani | 39c | 1,734$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.56 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Chidi Njokuani | 47c | 1,673$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.97 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…1883backed Joel Álvarez | 32c | 1,667$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Joel Álvarez | 24c | 1,583$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8807…d08abacked Joel Álvarez | 75c | 1,550$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…b9efbacked Joel Álvarez | 59c | 1,436$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Joel Álvarez | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Joel Álvarez | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Joel Álvarez | 75c | 1,314$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.52 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Joel Álvarez | 77c | 1,292$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chidi Njokuani | 59c | 1,242$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.43 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Joel Álvarez | 17c | 1,200$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chidi Njokuani | 39c | 1,179$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.37 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Joel Álvarez | 8c | 1,177$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Chidi Njokuani | 30c | 1,132$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.78 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057e…813abacked Joel Álvarez | 3c | 1,112$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Joel Álvarez | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Chidi Njokuani | 26c | 1,080$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.18 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Chidi Njokuani | 45c | 1,070$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.05 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Chidi Njokuani | 40c | 1,016$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chidi Njokuani | 25c | 1,008$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.61 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chidi Njokuani | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Chidi Njokuani | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Joel Álvarez | 23c | 942.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…21edbacked Chidi Njokuani | 25c | 899.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 43cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…3cc4backed Joel Álvarez | 51c | 887.68$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Chidi Njokuani | 62c | 875.41$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.4 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Joel Álvarez | 27c | 855.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Joel Álvarez | 71c | 843$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Joel Álvarez | 66c | 832.86$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chidi Njokuani | 26c | 826.46$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.48 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Joel Álvarez | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Chidi Njokuani | 43c | 800$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Chidi Njokuani | 30c | 800$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Chidi Njokuani | 39c | 775.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.84 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Joel Álvarez | 26c | 769.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Joel Álvarez | 32c | 765.32$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Joel Álvarez | 27c | 742.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Joel Álvarez | 40c | 730.59$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Joel Álvarez | 75c | 728.47$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.35 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Chidi Njokuani | 26c | 728.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.75 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chidi Njokuani | 26c | 700.68$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.83 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Joel Álvarez | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Chidi Njokuani | 35c | 684.35$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.35 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Chidi Njokuani | 74c | 677.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Chidi Njokuani win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Joel Álvarez win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.