TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x740b…647a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.3
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.99
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$41.41
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$206.25
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$42.74
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$448.79
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150.7%+$167.23
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,145.2
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+48%+$183.79
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$21.39
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.3%+$24.71
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$45.33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$84.62
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$183.87
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$274.37
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Bilbao Basket vs. Basquet Gironabacked Bilbao Basket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Granada vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked La Laguna Tenerife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$238.45
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$320.21
Bilbao Basket vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.2
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Forca Lleida CEbacked CB Breogan Lugo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$335.71
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugobacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Olimpia Milano vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Barcelona vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+25%+$5.27
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+25.3%+$73.87
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$35.56
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$392.92
BC Dubai vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+40.8%+$9.92
Real Madrid vs. Fenerbahcebacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.2%+$346.13
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$46.98
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$29.55
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$50.69
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$67.25
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$127.27
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$77.01
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$67.76
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$96.54
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$36.67
Will Málaga CF win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+25%+$75
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+54.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$133.77
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Miami Hurricanes vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Michigan State Spartans vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$60.36
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$46.67
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Hawaii vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$57.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$21.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,411.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.