NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f3773cec51971d72ed03b1deef2cf95006001b1c9d7588035a0475fa8eb5178

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Lakers, Wizards
Resolved: Jan 30, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,217,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,216,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,217,949 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 792 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20d6…3856backed Wizards	22c	411,537$88,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88,947.73	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Lakers	78c	325,178$253,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,992.83	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards	23c	301,469$70,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,812.25	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Lakers	79c	152,322$119,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,411.85	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	70cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lakers	76c	105,346$80,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,335.73	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers	77c	99,880$76,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,065.79	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Lakers	80c	90,280$72,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,127.97	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d26…1c15backed Lakers	78c	60,955$47,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,255.02	224	59.4%133 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards	23c	46,178$10,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,422.58	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Lakers	78c	44,615$34,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,815.3	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	21c	36,360$7,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777.71	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d75…c09fbacked Wizards	23c	34,061$7,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,834	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	24c	30,516$7,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,313.76	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e3…76bdbacked Wizards	20c	30,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Lakers	77c	30,000$23,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,900	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	21c	27,162$5,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,818.23	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Lakers	78c	25,641$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,641.03	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards	12c	24,038$2,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,786.41	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Wizards	24c	24,034$5,739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,739.29	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers	76c	23,542$17,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,766.75	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Wizards	0c	22,468$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	306	19.9%61 W · 245 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Wizards	22c	21,442$4,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,817.25	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Lakers	76c	20,000$15,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Wizards	22c	20,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	14c	19,091$2,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,724.19	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards	21c	18,696$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Wizards	18c	16,347$3,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,019.84	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	24c	15,288$3,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,740.18	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards	20c	14,965$2,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,935.58	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Wizards	23c	13,661$3,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,142	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Wizards	23c	12,940$2,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,976.2	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards	22c	12,599$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,749.97	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Wizards	19c	12,500$2,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,374.99	153	49%75 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards	24c	12,278$2,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,914.17	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Wizards	18c	12,200$2,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,195.99	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers	78c	11,998$9,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,649.72	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Wizards	16c	11,949$1,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,906.05	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Wizards	5c	11,827$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.35	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Wizards	0c	11,440$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	10,973$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Lakers	76c	10,802$8,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,592.41	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	22c	10,570$2,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,314.34	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Wizards	23c	10,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Wizards	1c	10,000$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.2	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee39…a40abacked Wizards	24c	10,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Wizards	22c	10,000$2,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,180	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Wizards	22c	9,134$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.59	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Wizards	23c	8,600$1,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,995.94	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Lakers	77c	8,600$6,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,995.94	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Wizards	25c	8,400$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Wizards	23c	8,158$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,871.79	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Wizards	24c	8,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+11.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Lakers	75c	7,999$5,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.75	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers	78c	7,932$6,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,775.42	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Lakers	73c	7,573$5,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,048.14	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Wizards	23c	7,555$1,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,737.65	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f96…87f3backed Wizards	1c	7,370$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.04	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Lakers	78c	7,079$5,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.46	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Wizards	23c	6,500$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,495	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Lakers	77c	6,500$5,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Lakers	78c	6,410$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.26	88	63.6%56 W · 32 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Wizards	24c	6,238$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.17	214	40.7%87 W · 127 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	24c	5,100$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,234.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards	19c	5,090$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.14	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Wizards	22c	5,000$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.71	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4119…96f0backed Wizards	24c	4,699$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.81	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…e86fbacked Wizards	20c	4,500$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Lakers	72c	4,407$3,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.96	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Lakers	80c	4,181$3,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.25	153	55.6%85 W · 68 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Wizards	24c	4,167$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards	26c	4,145$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.81	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Lakers	73c	4,060$2,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100.37	277	58.8%163 W · 114 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	12c	4,047$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.31	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards	22c	3,923$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.14	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Lakers	72c	3,760$2,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,052.79	176	53.4%94 W · 82 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Lakers	78c	3,646$2,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.15	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…26a0backed Lakers	77c	3,600$2,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Wizards	23c	3,571$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.76	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Wizards	20c	3,488$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.64	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Lakers	76c	3,459$2,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.26	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards	23c	3,043$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Wizards	21c	3,017$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.79	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Wizards	23c	3,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	200	48%96 W · 104 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Wizards	19c	3,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Wizards	24c	3,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Wizards	24c	3,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Wizards	24c	3,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	208	47.6%99 W · 109 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Wizards	24c	3,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	314	55.1%173 W · 141 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c090backed Wizards	23c	2,875$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.25	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Lakers	76c	2,867$2,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.08	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Wizards	21c	2,865$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.13	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1620…1944backed Lakers	77c	2,690$2,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.74	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Wizards	0c	2,682$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	117	36.8%43 W · 74 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards	22c	2,600$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aef…5ad6backed Lakers	77c	2,578$1,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.94	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Wizards	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe0…2aa9backed Wizards	24c	2,500$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.99	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Wizards	22c	2,462$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.12	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	24c	2,400$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wizards	21c	2,381$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lakers vs. Wizardsthis page
1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 15.5No won
Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 16.5No won
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Lakers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Lakers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5Yes won
Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event