NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb099bd14c132e52294fe9aff750ba93f5ad89a53e695fde49fac8d575522cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Lakers | 55c | 13,002$7,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850.85 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 46c | 11,520$5,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Lakers | 49c | 6,767$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.31 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 50c | 6,508$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Lakers | 56c | 6,233$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.64 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Wizards | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Wizards | 43c | 3,469$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.51 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 50c | 3,256$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.78 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 43c | 2,922$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.4 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 53c | 2,698$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.05 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Wizards | 47c | 2,551$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 77c | 2,440$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Lakers | 50c | 2,094$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Wizards | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 56c | 2,020$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.58 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Lakers | 50c | 1,947$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.58 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Wizards | 43c | 1,888$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Wizards | 50c | 1,838$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Wizards | 51c | 1,260$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.67 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Wizards | 52c | 998.49$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.22 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers | 55c | 902$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.9 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 50c | 885.82$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers | 48c | 873.13$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.03 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 45c | 712$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Wizards | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Wizards | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Wizards | 50c | 499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 47c | 465.64$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Wizards | 52c | 439.98$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 47c | 400.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 46c | 341.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Wizards | 53c | 303.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wizards | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Wizards | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wizards | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Wizards | 45c | 223.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Lakers | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 51c | 205.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Wizards | 45c | 191.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ce…97a7backed Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 55c | 187.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 50c | 156.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Wizards | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers | 57c | 146.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1c…c085backed Wizards | 48c | 146.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wizards | 46c | 143.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…c03fbacked Lakers | 58c | 138.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Lakers | 56c | 126$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…7c89backed Lakers | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Wizards | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Lakers | 50c | 108.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Wizards | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Lakers | 49c | 102.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 50c | 98.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers | 47c | 95.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Lakers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lakers | 48c | 83.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…701cbacked Wizards | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wizards | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Wizards | 46c | 64.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Lakers | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Lakers | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Wizards | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…0b62backed Lakers | 48c | 55.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Wizards | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Lakers | 48c | 51.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Wizards | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Wizards | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc244…c06fbacked Wizards | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Wizards | 43c | 48.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Wizards | 45c | 43.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Wizards | 33c | 43.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Wizards | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Wizards | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Wizards | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Wizards | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Wizards | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Wizards | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Wizards | 43c | 34.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Wizards | 53c | 32.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Lakers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Wizards | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Wizards | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Lakers | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Wizards | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Lakers | 54c | 24.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Lakers | 54c | 23.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Lakers | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Lakers | 56c | 21.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…e480backed Lakers | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Lakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Lakers vs. WizardsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5Yes won
- Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.