TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed Lakers55c13,002$7,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850.8529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards46c11,520$5,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,251.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Lakers49c6,767$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.3113239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards50c6,508$3,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Lakers56c6,233$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.6415549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Wizards51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Wizards43c3,469$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.5148347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Lakers50c3,256$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.7836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards43c2,922$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.42,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers53c2,698$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.051,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Wizards47c2,551$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19926949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers77c2,440$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Lakers50c2,094$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.592055%11 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Wizards48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers56c2,020$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Lakers50c1,947$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.5858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Wizards43c1,888$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.72646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Wizards50c1,838$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91914346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Wizards51c1,260$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.6726755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Wizards52c998.49$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.2211753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Lakers55c902$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.985147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Lakers50c885.82$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.922,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers48c873.13$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0351146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3128448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards45c712$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.41,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Wizards50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007544%33 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Wizards52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Wizards50c499$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.526034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards47c465.64$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Wizards52c439.98$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7982440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards47c400.98$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Lakers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards46c341.91$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Wizards53c303.4$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Wizards45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Wizards45c260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11715147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Wizards51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Wizards45c223.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Lakers48c208.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3363447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards51c205.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Wizards52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Wizards45c191.76$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2935747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ce…97a7backed Wizards53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers55c187.02$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.163,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers50c156.04$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.333,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Wizards44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers57c146.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1c…c085backed Wizards48c146.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Wizards46c143.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1895…c03fbacked Lakers58c138.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Lakers56c126$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4413338.3%51 W · 82 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4263…7c89backed Lakers49c116.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Wizards53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024250.8%123 W · 119 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Lakers50c108.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Wizards47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2918339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Lakers49c102.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0817545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Wizards50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards50c98.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.023,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers47c95.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Lakers55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9112763%80 W · 47 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Lakers48c83.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.561,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Wizards46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wizards52c65.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Wizards46c64.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Lakers49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Lakers56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Wizards52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb29…0b62backed Lakers48c55.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.934158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Wizards54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012040%48 W · 72 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Lakers48c51.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6443244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Wizards52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Wizards52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc244…c06fbacked Wizards52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Wizards43c48.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8839736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Wizards45c43.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6312143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Wizards33c43.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards45c42.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1948546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Wizards50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Wizards52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Wizards52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Wizards43c37.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Wizards54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Wizards54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012661.1%77 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Wizards43c34.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7337652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Wizards53c32.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.233552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Lakers48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2519242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Wizards51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.323445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Wizards50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Lakers50c28.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2848451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b37…d7e9backed Wizards53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411938.7%46 W · 73 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Lakers54c24.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Lakers54c23.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8953149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Lakers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Lakers56c21.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.313945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe178…e480backed Lakers48c21.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.952744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Lakers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.