TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e5b…a569

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
544
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 61 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT23847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 238 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$230.59
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$123.76
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$76.03
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.86
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.9
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$83.27
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$80
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+43%+$51.57
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$195.79
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$90.21
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$86.67
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+222.6%+$267.1
Showing 25 of 238 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT22655.8%126 W · 100 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 226 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$53.54
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$125.4
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$36.09
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Utah vs. Wildbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$43.78
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+41%+$32.82
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$41.37
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$102.48
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$48.33
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$73.55
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51.43
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$76.72
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$56.47
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$120.5
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Showing 25 of 226 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Livingston FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$102.86
Will Dundee FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$102.86
Will SC Heerenveen vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Telstar 1963 vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$186.67
Will AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will AFC Ajax vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+319.3%+$127.71
Will St Mirren FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+284.6%+$227.69
Will Rangers FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will SBV Excelsior vs. AZ end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Heracles Almelo vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Dundee FC vs. Livingston FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+261.1%+$208.86
Will Motherwell FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+245.5%+$196.38
Will Kilmarnock FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 20 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Mls — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80.04
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$98.46
Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.6%+$87.12
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$67.55
Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$120
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$53.91
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$140.87
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$124.9
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$83.39
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$86.9
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$135.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$106.42
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+203%+$243.64
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$90.53
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$106.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$64.62
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$56.22
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$181.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$140.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$83.39
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$110.77
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+194.1%+$465.88
Will Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$240
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$120.7
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$107.83
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$93.33
Will Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$97.93
Will Fluminense FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will São Paulo FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.