Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd28fc001bd1ee5a7320aed14572bd4cfc0601c7541df8603ca2373ade24c5bd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 62c | 124,971$77,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,141.69 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 37c | 35,508$13,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,303.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 38c | 16,044$6,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.81 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 37c | 13,979$5,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 13,781$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.3 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 8,754$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 26c | 8,343$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.43 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 37c | 7,725$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 6,230$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.48 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 37c | 5,946$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 5,243$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.37 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed No | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 37c | 4,401$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 38c | 4,383$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.76 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 74c | 4,213$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.01 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 3,780$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.76 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 39c | 3,311$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.96 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 38c | 1,761$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 21c | 1,612$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.59 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,578$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.7 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 60c | 1,377$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.44 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 1,325$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.71 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 1,270$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.65 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,104$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.61 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 63c | 1,090$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.3 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 34c | 1,035$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.69 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 32c | 998.31$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.84 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 73c | 827$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.78 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed No | 38c | 803.06$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 58c | 481.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 40c | 480$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…681abacked No | 37c | 480$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 6c | 407.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 76c | 366$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 72c | 280.59$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 280.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 37c | 279.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 78c | 257.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 257.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 231.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 39c | 217$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 78c | 164.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 38c | 162.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 38c | 145.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 63c | 135.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 61c | 128.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 27c | 118.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 104.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 99.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…aef1backed No | 43c | 88.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 37c | 70.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 64.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…7750backed Yes | 63c | 60.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30b…29e5backed No | 38c | 60.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 26c | 59.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 38c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 29c | 45.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 38c | 42.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 37c | 40.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 38c | 38.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 35c | 33.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 40c | 32.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…4368backed Yes | 64c | 31.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Yes | 63c | 30.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…14c0backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 58c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 74c | 24.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 74c | 21.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Yes | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…5c5abacked Yes | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 61c | 16.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Chicago Fire FC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.