TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbbfb…ba4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.02
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.53
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.02
Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23.69
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.74
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.1
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.48
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.27
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.21
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.97
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.65
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.12
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.05
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.2
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.55
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.47
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.97
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80.84
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.79
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$43.27
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-6.5)backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$17.95
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-2.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$129.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.33
Will New York City FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+44.9%+$91.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.85
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$120.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$51.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$28.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$5.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$400.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.