Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf606f86c1879aca6e8c8c4c7521f6ef53a27c227b27c953fcda9c5ed6b0307ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 32c | 99,601$31,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,872.37 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 32,058$22,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,959.44 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 68c | 22,871$15,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,318.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 68c | 18,794$12,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,101.54 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 68c | 15,259$10,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.88 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 10,509$8,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.66 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 10,433$7,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.73 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 8,773$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.45 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 68c | 7,485$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.08 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 68c | 1,581$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.91 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Yes | 18c | 1,513$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.87 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 1,327$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.42 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 68c | 1,103$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 33c | 1,070$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,052$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.16 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 67c | 738.48$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 10c | 600$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 36c | 545.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 31c | 502.56$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 34c | 392.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 333$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…ba4cbacked No | 69c | 296.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 270.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 68c | 236.74$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 22c | 232.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 32c | 215.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 214.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 204.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 6c | 194.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 72c | 186.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 13c | 171.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 31c | 168.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 33c | 142.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 36c | 121.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed Yes | 10c | 115.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 109.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 67c | 107.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 102.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 43c | 80.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 68c | 74.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed No | 68c | 72.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 69c | 69.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 67.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 34c | 65.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Yes | 33c | 64.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed No | 68c | 59.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 50.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked No | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…b2f2backed Yes | 36c | 31.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…c6f9backed No | 65c | 30.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…44cdbacked No | 65c | 29.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd285…ab07backed Yes | 36c | 28.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…e61ebacked No | 65c | 28.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked No | 68c | 28.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 68c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…aa05backed No | 68c | 20.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked No | 78c | 15.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.