Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a9df6b3a901769bd9f4bfc3aaf1783811c5da588647f1347a47ab1091cd74d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 5,459$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.52 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 2,991$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.85 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 2,969$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.41 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 75c | 2,125$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,935$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.95 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 1,482$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.05 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 75c | 1,063$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…4d4bbacked No | 75c | 981$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…32cfbacked Yes | 25c | 971.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 60c | 924.98$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.94 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed No | 17c | 700$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 80c | 490.72$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 20c | 490.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…5f17backed Yes | 75c | 466.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 76c | 327.85$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 26c | 309$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 21c | 304.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 13c | 233.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 229.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 224.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 204.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 190.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 75c | 155.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 26c | 153.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 25c | 152.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 142.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked No | 10c | 133.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 26c | 129$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 52c | 128.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 24c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 113.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 93.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 21c | 82.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 22c | 74.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 69.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 61.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…bbbbbacked Yes | 26c | 58.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 22c | 49.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 46.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 39.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 39c | 25.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…e120backed No | 75c | 21.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 49c | 21.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…3d32backed No | 75c | 19.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…6b74backed No | 75c | 17.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…10c9backed Yes | 75c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.