TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e84…d31c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+404%+$202.02
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+1,226%+$343.76
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27.07
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42.46
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.38
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$73.57
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.65
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.37
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.72
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+219.5%+$143.28
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150.65
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$57.83
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30.2
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.89
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.42
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.44
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$47.04
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$14.47
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.36
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$47.65
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-59.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$560.05
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$94.11
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$49.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$22.1
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$116.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.75
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+284.6%+$113.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning 2: Linang Xiao vs Blake Ellisbacked Linang Xiao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.