TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,841 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over15c3,367$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.013033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under61c2,474$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.193154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under61c2,130$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under73c1,940$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.5652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Under62c1,624$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over30c1,249$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.082630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over39c1,141$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105120%0 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under61c672.13$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.135545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over16c540.19$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over39c426.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over39c358.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Under62c322.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over40c311.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.535540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under61c255.74$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.742835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over40c220$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Under60c210.11$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.042733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over41c202.85$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Under62c201.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.612055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c198.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over40c192.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under59c185.43$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.033145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under79c182.72$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.12254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over24c138.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.291338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over12c133.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.392540%10 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+72.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Over14c130.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under61c129$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.316100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ea…22d6backed Over43c116.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-80.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over28c116.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ea…08a4backed Under62c108.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under61c106.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over28c105.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.657842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2063857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x036f…0dc1backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over19c98.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0933522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8573…a544backed Under60c92.6$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.163036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under78c83.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over28c83.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2370%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e84…d31cbacked Under61c79.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Over40c77.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over39c77.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0316856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Over40c75.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.164841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over40c73.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.212437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over60c66.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf4…8c98backed Over39c64.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over41c63.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.833554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under65c61.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.55366%35 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df0…b669backed Over40c49.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Under61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Over41c49.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204818.8%9 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over38c48.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5318049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9c…b478backed Under62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa938…1c6cbacked Over36c47.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Under63c45.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.812373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63212.5%4 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over37c42.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5514641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under65c41.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5717835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over40c41.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.556056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b80…a0d2backed Over40c39.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b14…b151backed Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over38c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c06…53bcbacked Under61c36.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over38c35.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5da…f6e5backed Over40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2927…05fcbacked Under60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over39c33.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2816543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd97b…23c7backed Over33c33.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under62c32.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a5…f731backed Under62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…910bbacked Over40c30.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over40c29.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Over37c29.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.961030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbf…a449backed Under60c28.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over39c28.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117156.3%40 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under60c27.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0621835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…8776backed Under62c27.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.