TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,655 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c4,782$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.073,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Under59c4,000$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c2,313$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.832,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b0…dcd6backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over67c1,792$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.342259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Over58c1,720$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under37c1,628$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.343050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c1,282$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.4363857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c1,210$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.4652243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over38c1,055$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.12055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66023461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under33c999.92$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.973154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over49c639.25$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.462630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over39c540$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.44136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under33c499.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9918049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.765464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under33c432.46$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over34c420.35$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4315562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf2ad…c898backed Over39c399.97$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c388.49$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over67c363.5$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.953946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c317.27$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8713040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over51c294.42$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over34c279.06$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1817958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Over63c277.9$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over40c235.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6617855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over63c233.1$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9238453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over66c199.97$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9920056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over62c198$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over73c178.24$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8935944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…20e7backed Over59c175.71$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over67c168.62$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.682268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5dc4…99adbacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+50.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over68c144.76$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.464235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84c3…6f21backed Over67c144.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.72988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over51c142.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6414641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over63c139.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.227842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over40c133.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.465554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over66c125.62$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.719354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over34c108.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.821070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+174%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7c3…8e29backed Over56c107.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over47c107$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.712433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3213337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6223949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c98.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.417536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df0…42d1backed Over66c94.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.29366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.218062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…e31bbacked Over65c86.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.15666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under61c85.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over53c84.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.827751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over53c82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.723050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Over67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over64c76.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5121835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4626…d40bbacked Under45c69.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over53c65.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.972842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under51c63.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2517835.4%63 W · 115 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over53c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6114963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under33c62.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.669048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over67c59.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.777156.3%40 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under34c59.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.24841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under50c59.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.834663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ea…08a4backed Under34c57.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c56.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.361,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x101a…a4d2backed Over70c51.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.335100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1715459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over40c49.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over56c49.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over41c47.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.031942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.785455.6%30 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over40c42.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.394548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Over48c42.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.033616.7%6 W · 30 L-9.3wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-70.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9867…bc76backed Over66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over47c37.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.212065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under34c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6217249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under34c36.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over56c35.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.732147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefb…79afbacked Over43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Over70c34.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.495048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under34c34.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.636056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under32c32.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5211153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over65c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced1…280ebacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.854757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.854818.8%9 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4589…5ea9backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Over60c27.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.