TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x562e…922b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Asian League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.53
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
São Paulo FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
CR Flamengo vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.41
Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Santos FC vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
CA Paranaense vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.41
Grêmio FBPA vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Clube do Remo vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-53.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.29
United States vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.19
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$31.59
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.69
Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.77
Northern Ireland vs. Guinea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$32.1
Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.09
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Terrapins vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Irelandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56%+$10.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Travaglia vs. Squire: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.