TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,744 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over38c74,236$28,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,209.5910450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c29,890$18,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,973.934,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under62c10,987$6,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,175.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+64.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over28c9,575$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.5660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under62c8,500$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,230.43345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c7,056$4,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.743,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under62c7,000$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6605757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under64c6,303$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.353138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over37c5,728$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.4450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over40c5,061$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.631442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under62c4,019$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.232,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over37c1,779$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.7611146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.996848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c1,171$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.011,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3804254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over40c700.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.43727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under64c699.98$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.997750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over37c664.1$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over13c610.46$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.418537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over38c602.63$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2296756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under61c599.98$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9912954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under60c585.05$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0230446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over39c577.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4211741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.872268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under76c471.89$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.141,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over32c406.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15222746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under62c360$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.144050%20 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under62c336.39$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8320245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over36c328.52$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over37c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202763%17 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over40c306.1$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.444755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over32c305.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.71838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11427652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11419750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11429053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11431751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over39c272.54$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.391,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over37c270.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0610938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Over27c256.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over38c249$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under65c218.61$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over40c204.83$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7616151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over37c197.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.023850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over34c191.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4317032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under62c180$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.414950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over40c172.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6914850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2923152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b2…0497backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5743255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5714244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over13c144.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.788732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under62c140$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.219652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2290…eddebacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9532145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under62c125.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.716460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.620652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.618853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.613453%71 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.620949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.619053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.615747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over40c103.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.273943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3819153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3818152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over23c99.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.497625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under61c93.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.445646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Over21c89.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Under63c85.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.224161%25 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under64c84.36$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6312152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.412554.4%68 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.412654%68 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over37c79.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.426940.6%28 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Over21c75.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Over34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over39c73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.473441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under62c68.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.