TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Getafe CFof Club Atlético de Madrid, Getafe CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,040 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d9…651bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid16c1,814$294 inLost-$293.8760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Club Atlético de Madrid17c1,248$207 inLost-$207.328537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Club Atlético de Madrid20c505.05$100 inLost-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid17c294.84$52 inLost-$51.5511146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…838fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid18c274$49 inLost-$49.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf45e…6e29backed Club Atlético de Madrid16c267.85$43 inLost-$42.86450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick19cpaid+236%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Club Atlético de Madrid21c237.62$50 inLost-$50.1617032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Club Atlético de Madrid23c217.39$50 inLost-$5022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Club Atlético de Madrid19c190$36 inLost-$36.118842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Club Atlético de Madrid14c142.86$20 inLost-$206645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Club Atlético de Madrid12c93.97$11 inLost-$11.2944424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Club Atlético de Madrid22c90$20 inLost-$20.126641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Club Atlético de Madrid23c86.71$20 inLost-$203638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Getafe CF74c33.33$25 inWon+$8.674266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Getafe CF76c30$23 inWon+$7.221355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Getafe CF69c25.56$18 inWon+$7.9545841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.