TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8c7…3726

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Commodities, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 66 out of 100; worst World Politics at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6016.7%10 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,317Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+728.5%+$9,592.13
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.67
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,123.65
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+681.7%+$2,332.9
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.44
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.07
Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$242.22
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$242.73
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.3
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$371
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.79
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,369.69
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
SV 07 Elversberg vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
SV 07 Elversberg vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
SV 07 Elversberg vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+189.4%+$420.23
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$41.22
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$101.59
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)backed Borussia Mönchengladbach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$57.63
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$319.56
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+293.2%+$65.96
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-5.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.99
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.91
Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will TISZA win <42% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.98
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.22
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.69
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-85.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.79
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Liverpool win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$235.63
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$81.21
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$48.49
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+4.9wins+0.54per pick35cpaid+218.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$335.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+538.3%+$1,719.26
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+658%+$2,087.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,756Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$5,377.68
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,736Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$2,381.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,031Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+288.2%+$8,733.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,762Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+193.5%+$3,407.95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,457.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.02
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+201.4%+$394.7
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$2,018.31
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+254%+$6,452.37
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$88.76
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+216.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.