Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f7b32d476b0127de186b56d02dec2121f3e404808527d35ac016f9537297a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celtic FCof Celtic FC, Heart of Midlothian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 78c | 1,704$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Celtic FC | 39c | 1,145$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 67c | 879.41$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Celtic FC | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Celtic FC | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Celtic FC | 35c | 299.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtic FC | 34c | 288.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 78c | 257.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 61c | 210.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 66c | 198.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 54c | 169.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtic FC | 9c | 160.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Celtic FC | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 80c | 125.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 65c | 115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 59c | 113.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…7ef0backed Celtic FC | 17c | 86.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 65c | 81.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Celtic FC | 16c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtic FC | 33c | 68.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c0…c82cbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Celtic FC | 18c | 58.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Celtic FC | 32c | 55.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb7…a3f7backed Celtic FC | 37c | 40.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3907…dfbbbacked Celtic FC | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 64c | 38.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Celtic FC | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Celtic FC | 37c | 38.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Celtic FC | 30c | 36.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Celtic FC | 34c | 31.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 66c | 31.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 65c | 15.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 74c | 13.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)this page
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.