Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13474f97ade92fdd394fe2898a5a2d41a7ec662bc634095629d79b934845df6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 58c | 9,203$5,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,337.62 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 6,777$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.37 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 4,575$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 4,235$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 39c | 3,779$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 42c | 2,402$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 14c | 1,398$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 33c | 785$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Under | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 22c | 689.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 49c | 550$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…a49cbacked Over | 41c | 534.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 40c | 501.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.27 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 499.97$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.98 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Over | 51c | 348.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 46c | 313.04$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 47c | 312.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.78 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 59c | 271.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 45c | 236.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 23c | 222.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 36c | 147.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 11c | 134.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 27c | 130$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Over | 31c | 122.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 60c | 116.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Over | 52c | 106.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 39c | 104.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…480abacked Over | 47c | 76.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 40c | 70.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 69.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 66.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 39c | 66.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 47c | 49.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 34c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 40c | 40.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 60c | 38.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 34c | 37.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 67c | 28.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…ccf1backed Under | 65c | 20.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…3918backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 75c | 18.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 68c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Under | 67c | 18.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 69c | 15.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.