TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over56c9,938$5,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,372.86761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under54c5,586$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c5,386$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.613,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c4,235$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.4638748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c3,162$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.362,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.582548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c2,625$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.532951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under41c2,422$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under44c2,368$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.925349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb585…53edbacked Under53c2,070$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-57%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under44c1,840$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.62853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c1,710$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93248141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under51c1,640$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.2549143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over34c1,590$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.824447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under1c1,212$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under46c1,098$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.983050%15 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over52c1,001$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6328345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4308950.6%45 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49011142.3%47 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.992665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x716e…bcc2backed Under45c944$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under43c900$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3878851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under44c783.13$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.111338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under48c700$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3371827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under65c695.85$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.83268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under49c689.57$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.919248.9%45 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over35c651.86$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over27c557.13$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under62c515.63$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9233737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over54c499.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.993345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under44c465$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c460$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.428755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under39c456.41$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over56c415.05$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.622568%17 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over36c405.05$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.948630.2%26 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c399.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17629855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.845349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c308.74$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.611,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under43c295.36$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1278949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Over55c274.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.126645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over73c245.18$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.883063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+64.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under64c244.43$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.127136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under45c243.32$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1653140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over42c237.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.036564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under23c235.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.93387.9%3 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under61c232.3$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.888844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over59c211.17$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.72347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Under54c198.37$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.242138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Under40c197.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c195.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4320645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Under46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under73c160.54$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.969052.2%47 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over68c147$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.045457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under68c145$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under44c144$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.133158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over36c136.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over46c132.52$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.767750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over76c131.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.874759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over55c117.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.123268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c113$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.721,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under24c89.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.36205%1 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over42c87.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7626445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over33c82.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8427142.8%116 W · 155 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.834655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed Over38c69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under62c69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.783259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over31c65.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Over39c64.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.094829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe126…76bfbacked Under47c61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Over28c59.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over59c58.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.844655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over28c56.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6314055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under44c54.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410532.4%34 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over43c53.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.524339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over38c52.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.932552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under44c52.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239850%49 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+83.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c49.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9739558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over61c48.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.653658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d91…6816backed Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf5…e0d5backed Over52c44.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c43.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6164043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over55c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3511065.5%72 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over37c42.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9116056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Over36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.171952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Under62c39.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Over38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over45c39.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6622245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over41c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.421346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under54c35.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed Under46c32.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over56c30.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.362152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.812843%55 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.