Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc6ab178aa43199f72f3163a4b6ccee15e424a0b3706335c47ac6dbe50412eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 56c | 9,938$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.8 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under | 54c | 5,586$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 5,386$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 4,235$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.46 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 3,162$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.36 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 2,625$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 41c | 2,422$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 44c | 2,368$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.92 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Under | 53c | 2,070$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 44c | 1,840$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 1,710$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 1,640$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.25 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 34c | 1,590$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 1c | 1,212$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 46c | 1,098$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,001$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.63 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…bcc2backed Under | 45c | 944$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 44c | 783.13$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 48c | 700$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 65c | 695.85$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 49c | 689.57$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.91 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 35c | 651.86$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 27c | 557.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 62c | 515.63$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.92 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 44c | 465$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 39c | 456.41$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Over | 56c | 415.05$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 36c | 405.05$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 308.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 43c | 295.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Over | 55c | 274.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 73c | 245.18$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 244.43$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 243.32$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.16 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 42c | 237.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 23c | 235.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 61c | 232.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 59c | 211.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 54c | 198.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Under | 40c | 197.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 195.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 73c | 160.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 68c | 145$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 44c | 144$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 36c | 136.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 46c | 132.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 76c | 131.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 55c | 117.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 24c | 89.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 87.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 82.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Over | 38c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 62c | 69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 31c | 65.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 39c | 64.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…76bfbacked Under | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Over | 28c | 59.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 58.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 28c | 56.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 43c | 53.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 38c | 52.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 44c | 52.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 49.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 61c | 48.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed Over | 52c | 44.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 43.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 37c | 42.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 39.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 41c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 54c | 35.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Under | 46c | 32.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.