Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee7ec8469215cd989ac508c17ef4270e17da6207abffdafda6468163f50b760d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 37c | 8,163$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 3,660$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.48 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 3,050$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.95 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 70c | 662.1$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 66c | 436.36$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 435.34$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 59c | 297$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 275.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 231.97$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 186$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 13c | 144$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 78c | 137.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 63c | 121$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 79.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Under | 66c | 75.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 24c | 63.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 58.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Under | 65c | 57.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 64c | 52.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 65c | 48.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 66c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 31c | 37.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 65c | 26.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 44c | 23.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 65c | 18.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 65c | 17.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 68c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.