TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No31c7,833$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.043,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes62c6,203$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.662,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Yes74c2,985$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2d…28b8backed Yes74c2,120$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes71c1,400$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4062100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+212.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No26c1,041$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.561,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc126…60aebacked Yes73c1,017$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26038646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked No27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes72c895.76$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.811346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No27c801.19$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1728755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No26c774.31$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.381,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed No28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004938.8%19 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes72c621.92$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.923268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes73c452.05$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.05757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No27c417.46$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.071,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No37c388.59$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.662334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No27c388.01$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7629855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.474965.3%32 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes73c342$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3463645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ac…4025backed Yes72c300.13$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No28c293.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6926445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No31c239.84$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.538630.2%26 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No26c230$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.931,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1239558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes73c211.64$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1448146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes72c202.58$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7244655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes73c202$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.541764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes65c200.79$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6949143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Yes63c194.38$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.921573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes62c188.21$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.529150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+70.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Yes73c164.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes62c162.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.93745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Yes67c155.31$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes68c146.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.165457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Yes72c142.91$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.011968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes73c136.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.974759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes76c130.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.916564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Yes74c87.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.841457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed No33c85.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.133145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes73c75.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.343158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.511065.5%72 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes73c69.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.864030%12 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c1f…6823backed Yes62c63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.961266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed No27c61.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Yes47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.194829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No37c52.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.217136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No25c51.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.776937.7%26 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6096…c7f5backed Yes73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No35c49.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.444339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No27c48.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2133047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed No28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6711751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc080…f9a0backed Yes73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6444…672ebacked No27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed No28c39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.925040%20 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Yes67c38.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Yes73c35.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0a…c19ebacked No57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b3…d6efbacked Yes73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes71c31.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0910956%61 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No38c29.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3553140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf6…ceebbacked Yes67c29.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8a…0fd1backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7079…58e8backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.033961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1718…c327backed Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed8…565dbacked Yes73c26.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa636…dfe9backed Yes62c24.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes59c23.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8814055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.47750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.49468.1%64 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2190…bc21backed Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes73c19.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.375543.6%24 W · 31 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Yes73c18.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…c3aabacked Yes73c14.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes71c14.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.076046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe32…0300backed Yes73c14.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.