Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25a8d4c6ac450230f678adeab59d3be671c4909659de9edb58bc643b29925a97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof VfB Stuttgart, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VfB Stuttgart | 34c | 3,106$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.53 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…911fbacked VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 932.55$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 68c | 884.32$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.9 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 68c | 800$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.6 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed VfB Stuttgart | 49c | 643.71$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 605$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed VfB Stuttgart | 70c | 501.73$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.95 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 57c | 467.65$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.09 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed VfB Stuttgart | 43c | 467.65$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.09 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked VfB Stuttgart | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 65c | 251.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 29c | 235.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed VfB Stuttgart | 48c | 209.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VfB Stuttgart | 35c | 209$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 70c | 126.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 107.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 31c | 99.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 31c | 95.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 67c | 92.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed VfB Stuttgart | 70c | 78.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 33c | 42.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 30c | 39.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed VfB Stuttgart | 33c | 38.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…7a07backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 64c | 36.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 68c | 31.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked VfB Stuttgart | 74c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed VfB Stuttgart | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 70c | 25.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Under won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.