TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2e3…d1ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.15
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$327.67
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$101.67
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.91
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$83.96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.1
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$522
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$156.86
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$73.75
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$138.3
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Spread: Germany (-5.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$293.48
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$167.89
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.43
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$129.27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$397.56
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$407.13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$217.54
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$92.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$363
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.76
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$117.5
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$69.23
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.07
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed RC Strasbourg Alsace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed RC Strasbourg Alsace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$98.29
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$93.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.