Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ab7371cb24dedb59fb85baa8b66cbc463563efaea5d1859cac1d809791a75d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $984,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $984,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $984,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 54c | 299,380$160,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,753.89 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed Under | 46c | 238,692$109,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,605.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 47c | 210,138$98,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,373.09 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 55c | 95,209$52,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,517.06 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Over | 53c | 77,518$41,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,084.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 46c | 70,445$32,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,138.16 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 58,719$27,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,990.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 53c | 49,415$26,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,189.84 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Over | 53c | 35,190$18,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,650.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Under | 50c | 30,557$15,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,215.15 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 21,566$10,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,214.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 21,312$11,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,644.24 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 18,722$10,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,096.84 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under | 45c | 18,600$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,230 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 52c | 12,080$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,331.22 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 53c | 8,920$4,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.6 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Over | 57c | 8,247$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 49c | 8,174$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,031.53 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 46c | 7,826$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.09 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 7,528$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.83 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 7,108$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.3 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 46c | 5,604$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.35 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 74c | 4,061$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.15 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 4,053$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.72 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…c844backed Over | 54c | 3,887$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 47c | 3,877$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.6 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 35c | 3,757$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.14 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 53c | 3,547$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 46c | 3,429$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.93 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 46c | 3,256$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.17 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 2,665$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.09 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 53c | 2,363$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.39 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 26c | 2,281$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 2,219$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.87 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…99edbacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 54c | 2,034$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 1,999$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.67 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 54c | 1,809$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 1,776$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.51 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 41c | 1,750$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.58 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.61 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 61c | 1,643$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 45c | 1,625$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.22 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 78c | 1,603$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 54c | 1,378$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 45c | 1,344$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.44 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 1,232$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.73 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 80c | 1,216$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.23 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 17c | 1,201$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Under | 56c | 1,170$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.59 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 53c | 1,150$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 46c | 999.89$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.94 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 971.63$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.29 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 51c | 931.37$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 43c | 927.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…add5backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 911.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 848.96$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 51c | 804$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 51c | 799.74$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.03 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 54c | 749.97$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 52c | 711.18$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.23 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Over | 54c | 707.83$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.52 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 45c | 700.44$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 54c | 653.63$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.96 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 46c | 574.45$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5af…5d38backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c23…a9cdbacked Over | 50c | 517.56$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2157backed Over | 55c | 471.85$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 55c | 457.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 22c | 456.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 441.31$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.31 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 52c | 424.13$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 50c | 412$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…0c46backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…8745backed Over | 50c | 382.74$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.