TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a9a…c308

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37.1%+$371.04
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.3%+$338.51
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+60.4%+$302.13
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,272.01
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.3%+$274.6
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$377.19
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$413.54
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.5%+$132.54
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$158.32
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$220.55
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.8%+$93.56
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$724.14
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$92.67
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.2%+$244.78
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$311.3
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.1%+$315.58
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$432.44
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$475.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$425.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$245.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,994.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.