Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e64b03c46cdb3a2c3fd5b94376ba1d7ae07004ada4aa384a66249e99cbefcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Over | 48c | 3,800$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f9…54dabacked Under | 43c | 1,877$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 34c | 1,703$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.7 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Over | 52c | 1,637$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,588$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.61 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,547$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.66 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.65 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 875.42$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.34 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 61c | 814.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 62c | 627.16$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.97 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 76c | 601.25$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.87 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 473.58$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.13 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 23c | 440.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 48c | 366.01$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.52 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 29c | 317.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 32c | 313.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 68c | 251.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 73c | 196.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 73c | 158.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 72c | 141.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 48c | 121.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 25c | 104.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 90.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 56c | 76.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 35c | 70.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…8417backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 52c | 58.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 26c | 51.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 50.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 52c | 50.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Under | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 48c | 49.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 52c | 49.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…9706backed Under | 44c | 45.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…acacbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…a076backed Over | 37c | 38.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 30.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 73c | 21.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.