TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c13,665$7,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,232.462,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Over48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8401478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c3,490$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.3898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over49c3,447$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.616043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over49c2,999$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.533948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over41c2,499$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c2,441$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.4820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9406839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under53c1,400$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6584748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a57…1d29backed Under51c1,178$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.215100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c795.25$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.6340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c700.99$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.521,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Over49c699.74$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Over50c500.1$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Under52c461.54$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.544647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed Over47c454.38$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over48c416.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.122343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over50c400.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1924062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over50c336$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.528556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under52c224$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6413550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…7a80backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb7…02d8backed Over50c175.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c170.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Under75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.54776.6%36 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under52c135$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over47c127.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9733144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.213648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bfd…ff86backed Under53c117.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8609…4897backed Under53c115.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under52c115$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d7…2b16backed Under53c113.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87d…6f31backed Under53c106.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under53c100.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.225145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under51c91.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.221251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.211655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.212253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over49c82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under53c74.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.251080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+80.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.810952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0b…83e4backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.813650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under52c59.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.88651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under68c51.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.412875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c51.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3165254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2414155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over31c49.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1710456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114727.7%13 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Under55c45.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6612744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under54c40.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.783324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50f4…b728backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under51c37.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.413350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over48c36.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.665836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e97…1e35backed Under53c32.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd0c…3920backed Over48c31.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7400…c1f0backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Over36c30.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…bd53backed Over50c29.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f5…2f1bbacked Over48c29.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under55c29.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9724955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e23…0bdcbacked Under53c28.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over50c26.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.388937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.