TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5565…4b3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,428
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT42658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 426 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.87
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$4.73
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+55%+$8.97
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$45.58
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.48
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.49
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$25.31
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+504.5%+$84.1
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$416.54
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$90.85
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.84
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$5.97
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$11.54
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.81
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.88
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.62
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$27.42
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$21.73
Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Showing 25 of 426 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT27850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 278 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.31
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$13.97
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.14
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$7.69
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.83
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$11.1
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$71.65
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$80.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$88.91
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+148%+$113.74
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$37.31
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$37.74
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.48
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$7.94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Showing 25 of 278 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT24955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 249 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$6.46
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+197.8%+$32.12
FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.81
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.36
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$9.64
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51%+$13.26
Will SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$14.41
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.05
Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$8.09
Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$4.14
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$34.09
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+60%+$20.16
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.62
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+145%+$23.92
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$36.1
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+257.6%+$61.52
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$21.99
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$67.32
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$17.8
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.22
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$7.81
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$16.84
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$13.85
Showing 25 of 249 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20153.7%108 W · 93 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 201 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$4.16
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$67.9
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$10.72
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$10.52
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+283.7%+$35.64
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+172%+$19.09
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.77
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.75
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.09
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$4.42
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.67
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed FC Augsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.61
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$48.02
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$9.22
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$2.64
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.66
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed Hamburger SV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$64.81
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Showing 25 of 201 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT18060.6%109 W · 71 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 180 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$20.98
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52%+$5.68
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31%+$6.2
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$5.76
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$9.52
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$4.78
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$14.99
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$21.35
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Spread: Nuggets (-19.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.16
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$8.82
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Showing 25 of 180 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT9053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.98
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.94
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+195.3%+$25.7
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$7.36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.92
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.96
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.81
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.96
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$4.37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+355.9%+$80.29
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.96
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+242%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+242%+$904.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$91.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.