Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d7dec115c6ee78d5e419263336bf1bae5723b9fe5444d2250ddd6b935133ee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 0c | 98,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 40c | 41,871$16,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,748.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 41c | 30,382$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 60c | 23,831$14,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,532.57 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 60c | 18,983$11,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.2 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 10,273$7,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.65 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes | 11c | 7,623$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…f465backed No | 61c | 6,471$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 5,271$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.96 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 4,707$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.19 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 61c | 4,202$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.37 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 40c | 2,273$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.47 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 6c | 1,804$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 80c | 1,490$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 48c | 1,323$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 59c | 1,275$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.21 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,218$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.13 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 1,189$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 1,108$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.39 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 53c | 1,069$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.97 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 955.5$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.7 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 39c | 941.15$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 73c | 896.41$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 73c | 885.73$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.77 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 821.79$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 37c | 802.85$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.02 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 711.04$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.87 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 693.65$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.2 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 14c | 650$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 12c | 619.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 43c | 610.41$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.85 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 58c | 599.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 15c | 597.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 585.39$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 22c | 583.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 580.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 70c | 572.36$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.35 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 475.16$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 43c | 467.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 405.03$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 59c | 370$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 14c | 363.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 58c | 361.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 58c | 359.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 59c | 353.32$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 59c | 342.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 40c | 340$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 59c | 293.59$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 69c | 282.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 60c | 281.93$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Yes | 10c | 267.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 22c | 245.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 70c | 240$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 43c | 233.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 41c | 215.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 203.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 42c | 195.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 59c | 192.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 180.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 58c | 172.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 58c | 172.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 58c | 172.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 39c | 167.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 162.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 40c | 161$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 15c | 155.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes | 43c | 151.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 137.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 41c | 137$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 58c | 127.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf4…3d38backed Yes | 42c | 123.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 76c | 123$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 60c | 119.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 76c | 119.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 118.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 41c | 117.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 40c | 104$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 102.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 101.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 10c | 100.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 97.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 80c | 87.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 58c | 85.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…d205backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.