Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c32332aa6112c78d7f3bda633ef3fab151ec20a55704a9fa9a53b00bf53dd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 73c | 62,618$45,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,650.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 25,394$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,534.37 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 11,858$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,656.28 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 52c | 11,201$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.84 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Yes | 29c | 8,700$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,177 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 27c | 8,148$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.04 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 28c | 5,928$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.15 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 5,892$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 4,313$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.66 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 73c | 4,052$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 3,749$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.52 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 3,259$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.1 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 73c | 2,226$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.98 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,081$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…d59cbacked No | 72c | 1,937$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 1,762$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.67 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,255$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.11 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 70c | 1,160$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.25 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 28c | 1,108$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.86 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 76c | 1,029$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.6 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 941.15$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.63 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 37c | 835.08$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.35 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 71c | 765.45$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.47 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Yes | 29c | 655.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 28c | 646$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.12 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 27c | 632.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.07 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 547.75$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 529$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 72c | 520.52$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.78 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 13c | 502.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 56c | 353.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 58c | 347.21$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 52c | 313.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 65c | 307.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 28c | 303.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 72c | 279.85$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 270$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 267$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 77c | 261.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 250.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 241.45$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 27c | 225.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 28c | 219.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.07 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 27c | 200.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13f…0730backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 52c | 193.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 28c | 178.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 73c | 174$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 75cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…80f8backed Yes | 29c | 166.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 162.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Yes | 28c | 139.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 27c | 129.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 28c | 128$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 50c | 121.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 66c | 114.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 17c | 95.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 27c | 93.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 90.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 25c | 88.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 85.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 28c | 81.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 28c | 77.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 68c | 73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…6a3abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 55c | 70.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 66.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 71c | 64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 65c | 62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…87b5backed Yes | 28c | 61.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 47c | 60.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.