Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9944d4ab7a5757fe292dd4340c9c583bcfa2f226bed117048361bf455a9c9ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 68c | 46,745$31,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,958.53 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 32c | 37,026$11,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,848.32 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 32c | 15,321$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.72 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 68c | 12,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 7,925$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.93 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 68c | 5,436$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 33c | 5,412$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.24 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…bc90backed No | 69c | 4,500$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 4,157$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.63 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 3,260$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 32c | 3,178$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.96 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 55c | 3,144$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.39 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 2,047$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.32 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 1,849$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.29 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 68c | 1,840$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.8 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 1,825$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.34 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 35c | 1,758$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 43c | 1,685$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.85 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 1,607$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.24 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 36c | 1,460$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.52 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 39c | 959$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 63c | 950.06$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 32c | 941.15$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.17 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 49c | 911.88$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.79 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 893.12$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.44 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 50c | 865.25$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.67 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 50c | 865.25$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.67 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 50c | 845.56$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.82 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 38c | 794.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 39c | 718.39$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 64c | 703.13$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 33c | 699.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Yes | 32c | 695$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 640$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 64c | 621.36$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.67 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Yes | 32c | 565.38$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 62c | 547.14$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.29 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 62c | 540.45$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.96 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 31c | 486.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 468.64$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 452.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 412.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 62c | 403.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 400.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 33c | 393.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 33c | 393.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…4afabacked No | 70c | 383.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 32c | 344.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 69c | 300.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 69c | 300.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed No | 67c | 294.13$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 286.6$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 263.25$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 43c | 232.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed No | 68c | 199$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 28c | 165.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked No | 59c | 161.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 68c | 158$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 68c | 156$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 155.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 34c | 155$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 32c | 147$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 32c | 142.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 44c | 138.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 38c | 132.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 65c | 128.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 32c | 125.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 31c | 123.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 32c | 120.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 48c | 111.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…a233backed Yes | 30c | 111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 64c | 106$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 69c | 105.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…7acabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed No | 39c | 90.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.