TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71fe…6a3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+61.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+122%+$24.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+28.7%+$11.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+27.2%+$27.15
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$57.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+309.4%+$123.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-72.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+173.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$30
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.