Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bae0e84dab7af022852fe773b3e9df94efd6443ff0dfb723afecdf68c7d9908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 26c | 97,216$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 74c | 50,341$37,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,088.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 76c | 16,000$12,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked No | 75c | 11,600$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 11,293$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 9,519$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.15 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 5,982$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.26 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 5,530$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.35 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 25c | 3,956$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 3,862$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.64 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 25c | 3,092$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 25c | 3,044$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 25c | 2,937$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.25 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Yes | 75c | 2,336$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.97 | 47 | 85.1%40 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 36c | 2,096$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 24c | 1,510$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.58 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0980…bdaabacked Yes | 25c | 1,464$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 1,334$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 76c | 1,264$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.35 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 54c | 1,142$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.1 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.88 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 41c | 970$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.25 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 73c | 834.81$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…1d83backed No | 63c | 820.21$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 31c | 806.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 77c | 649.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 39c | 595.9$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 58c | 562.95$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.88 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 58c | 560.5$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 25c | 529.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 519.91$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.87 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 62c | 489.8$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.41 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 465.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Yes | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 50c | 424.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.82 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 69c | 373.81$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.09 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…ad50backed Yes | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 77c | 349$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 348.5$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf4…3d38backed Yes | 34c | 337.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 24c | 329.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 316.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.1 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 6c | 304.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Yes | 17c | 252$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 59c | 250.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 76c | 249.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 52c | 240.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 72c | 234.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 218.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 214.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 76c | 207.56$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 46c | 199.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 52c | 189.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Yes | 27c | 182.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb3…f4f6backed Yes | 29c | 176.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 69c | 166.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 38c | 165.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Yes | 25c | 161.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 51c | 157.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed Yes | 18c | 156.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 51c | 153.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 77c | 153.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 66c | 151.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked No | 15c | 149.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.3wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +228.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…b3bcbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 52c | 140.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 77c | 138.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5eb8backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 123.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e1…61d0backed Yes | 37c | 122.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes | 18c | 122$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 76c | 121.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 119.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 48c | 110.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked No | 76c | 101.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 74c | 100.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 24c | 100.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.