Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd309c5ef09f930331fbad943425bb7dccc9ff6d2310b12202e42b76254e090ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 49,102$17,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,576.2 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed No | 66c | 16,750$11,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,055 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…11cabacked No | 66c | 15,696$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,299.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…931abacked No | 65c | 13,066$8,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,501.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 10,834$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.42 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 48c | 10,639$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.86 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 9,033$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.27 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Yes | 35c | 7,732$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 7,242$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.59 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 6,765$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.12 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 65c | 6,264$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.27 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 69c | 5,257$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 34c | 4,987$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.52 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 34c | 4,558$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.43 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 66c | 4,386$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 35c | 4,286$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 4,140$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.4 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 35c | 3,333$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.36 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 39c | 3,231$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed No | 66c | 3,100$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 32c | 2,975$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 2,935$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 2,774$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.45 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 29c | 2,472$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…9a75backed Yes | 35c | 2,286$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 2,130$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.95 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 65c | 1,905$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.81 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 72c | 1,797$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.63 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…4afabacked No | 64c | 1,586$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 65c | 1,551$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.59 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 36c | 1,542$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 6c | 1,521$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,331$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 36c | 1,297$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.22 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked No | 64c | 1,255$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 64c | 1,218$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 70c | 1,116$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.86 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked No | 66c | 982.49$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 34c | 970.59$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 950.07$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.51 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked No | 64c | 940.11$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 62c | 866.27$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 34c | 864$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 72c | 857.49$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.39 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 13c | 850$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Yes | 35c | 837.49$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.37 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c658backed Yes | 36c | 830.31$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 40c | 829.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 69c | 808.04$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.76 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 63c | 795.21$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 66c | 795$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 750$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 27c | 744.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 71c | 702.2$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.91 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed Yes | 34c | 661.33$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 23c | 627.93$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 33c | 605.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.88 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 583.38$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.52 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 64c | 574$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.36 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 26c | 539.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.25 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 35c | 534.51$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.22 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 35c | 525.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.71 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 35c | 508.94$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 506.08$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.62 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 6c | 499.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 489.76$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 486.31$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 69c | 450.72$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 24c | 430.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.43 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 65c | 422.86$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.86 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 64c | 420$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 64c | 420$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 20c | 409.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 27c | 401.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.97 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 37c | 401.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 28c | 395.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 65c | 385.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 34c | 383.22$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.23 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 17c | 380.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.95 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 66c | 378.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed No | 12c | 370$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 64c | 370$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Yes | 34c | 367.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 29c | 358.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 35c | 357.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 6c | 355.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…1f8cbacked Yes | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Yes | 37c | 351.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.