TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a47…76dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Asian League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 3 Atalanta BC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$449.3
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 3 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 2 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 3 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$851.73
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+529.3%+$486.95
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+154.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$256.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.98
Exact Score: RCD Mallorca 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+1,159.4%+$219.07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$904.87
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$265.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$305.06
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+888.4%+$364.26
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+248.5%+$248.52
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+225%+$438.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+137.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Bbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.