CS2 · resolved market
Will Furia win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b293654f944c364fdf9c1a95efcc4d14f96ea50887c2eeb5969515dbbff8ec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,779 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 8c | 3,118$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 4c | 2,564$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,552$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed Yes | 4c | 2,380$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 5c | 2,106$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae3…6b12backed Yes | 12c | 1,456$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 1,127$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,025$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 7c | 966.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Yes | 11c | 872.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…972ebacked Yes | 3c | 615.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 560.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed Yes | 5c | 516.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 12c | 422.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…7505backed Yes | 8c | 371.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 354.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 350.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 343.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 256.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes | 9c | 253$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…53dbbacked Yes | 12c | 252.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb204…6d05backed Yes | 14c | 214.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Yes | 8c | 202.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 8c | 194.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…faa6backed Yes | 9c | 173.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 8c | 164.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Yes | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 10c | 111.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Furia win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? this page
- Will 9z win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will B8 win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will FaZe win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Mouz win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will NRG win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Parivision win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Team Falcons win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Team Liquid win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Team Spirit win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Tyloo win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.