TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$457,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$404,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,408 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadae…d709backed Yes0c26,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Yes17c7,531$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.469954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…53e3backed Yes15c6,293$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d1…4242backed Yes16c5,130$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.922937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe28f…542ebacked Yes7c4,363$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be8…7b99backed Yes8c4,073$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Yes16c3,898$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.7919757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes16c3,677$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.5529127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9595…b44ebacked Yes5c3,617$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d1…55dbbacked Yes5c3,509$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf605…8811backed Yes6c3,366$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes17c3,252$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes12c3,157$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0622838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0b…28cdbacked Yes5c3,038$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes15c2,989$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0725842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee87…5aa9backed Yes6c2,827$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3386…b7adbacked Yes5c2,779$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e0…ced3backed Yes5c2,731$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.63333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-37.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed Yes16c2,714$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.437828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Yes15c2,701$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.1250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd506…d33cbacked Yes5c2,688$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a40…1393backed Yes5c2,684$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…d097backed Yes8c2,682$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Yes12c2,632$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.812441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Yes13c2,611$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6819834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed Yes13c2,537$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.845549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3509…300cbacked Yes6c2,495$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b96…a8d1backed Yes8c2,426$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899a…230abacked Yes14c2,385$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.441711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4e6…f266backed Yes6c2,381$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes8c2,183$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.743514.3%5 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee57…bf1ebacked Yes13c2,161$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.93425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0802…eb8bbacked Yes6c2,136$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d2…6618backed Yes5c2,131$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa240…bf81backed Yes8c2,115$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9706…1d75backed Yes5c2,113$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8f…8823backed Yes7c2,113$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee9…3726backed Yes8c2,000$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes13c2,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2656033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd570…a4c8backed Yes5c1,952$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Yes13c1,940$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.628847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb6…697fbacked Yes7c1,939$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.85425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ab…29e4backed Yes5c1,930$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e54…178dbacked Yes5c1,918$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Yes7c1,887$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1714355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbae3…6b12backed Yes3c1,862$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.86190%0 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b62…db0dbacked Yes5c1,846$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e6…942abacked Yes5c1,810$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9f…161cbacked Yes5c1,772$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc778…8d85backed Yes8c1,771$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.183053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf83…5efebacked Yes8c1,688$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbe…67b3backed Yes5c1,653$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes8c1,588$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.026224.2%15 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebda…81afbacked Yes7c1,513$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba7…554cbacked Yes8c1,495$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e3…1a41backed Yes6c1,467$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc00c…bd0cbacked Yes7c1,438$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d6f…b4b1backed Yes7c1,404$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdae…29f9backed Yes7c1,396$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec7…339fbacked Yes8c1,366$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe259…cbb7backed Yes5c1,323$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes13c1,305$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9114142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b89…e61dbacked Yes7c1,301$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a4…7f85backed Yes5c1,284$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes1c1,256$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0514820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c65…9a3dbacked Yes17c1,209$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd570…f58dbacked Yes8c1,201$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa396…cb18backed Yes8c1,174$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes3c1,158$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.133716.2%6 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd464…7d87backed Yes5c1,142$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f5…8e41backed Yes7c1,136$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c1,132$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.651,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes15c1,130$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.96225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0165…2281backed Yes5c1,100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.12737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Yes3c1,100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.125941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238c…0f7abacked Yes5c1,068$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2019…6cf6backed Yes7c1,067$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dcf…967dbacked Yes6c1,055$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9033…343fbacked Yes8c1,043$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f97…1e28backed Yes7c1,042$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b8…616ebacked Yes6c1,039$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…3587backed Yes8c1,011$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4228…f351backed Yes6c991$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x597e…0a0cbacked Yes8c982$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f8…f72ebacked Yes8c971$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaae…db9fbacked Yes5c960$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf546…6db8backed Yes6c959$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…ba9cbacked Yes14c958.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Yes18c788$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.68158%47 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed Yes13c753.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023165.8%152 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Yes10c751.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9571645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ab…8c2ebacked Yes13c748.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec52…7ca1backed Yes8c733$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c726.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.38283.6%1 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-83.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd725…a0b7backed Yes7c725.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda76…7a79backed Yes17c702.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb62…6747backed Yes17c699.1$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2150%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bf…4a22backed Yes14c699.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a6…53dbbacked Yes6c697.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.