TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c64…c336

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
249
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT9852%51 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs 1win (+2.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.38
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$82.27
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$165.44
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$95.57
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cloud Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.47
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$696.29
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$559.1
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$101.77
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.76
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,924.2
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+59%+$294.75
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.88
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,482.72
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$347.61
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$433.33
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT5549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.67
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$14.47
Will Vitality win the ESL Grand Slam at IEM Rio?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$45.4
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.04
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$213.59
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,269.3
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+258%+$222.96
Will PARIVISION win PGL Bucharest 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.82
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$95.93
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.07
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.84
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.23
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.58
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$138.69
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$459.16
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4030%12 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$69.07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$14.34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$113.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$115.26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53%+$21.57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$293.35
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-81.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.92
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.82
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.67
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$100
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$61.49
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26.45
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$32.18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$364.88
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.67
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.16
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+47.6%+$4.85
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+25.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-73.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+98.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$38.84
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+167.6%+$22.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+65.9%+$19.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.2%+$33.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$5.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,643Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+41.6%+$1,516.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$503.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,196
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.