Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5719fe98f0a261936818794d88da149702646f901bd3b1a453fc3594ee56a130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 975.66$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 67c | 888.36$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.35 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 42c | 783.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.54 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed Yes | 63c | 652.24$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.41 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 60c | 474.38$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.7 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 36c | 456.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.33 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 51c | 437.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed Yes | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 27c | 373.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.58 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 44c | 364.28$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…e0f1backed Yes | 17c | 345.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 47c | 342.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…3baabacked Yes | 30c | 304.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 280.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 41c | 253.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Yes | 39c | 238.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fef…2f33backed No | 48c | 238.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 222.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 36c | 209.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 15c | 200.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 30c | 195.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 190.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 20c | 185.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 21c | 176.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked No | 69c | 152.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 41c | 152.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 32c | 147.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 59c | 141.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 64c | 132.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 122.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 40c | 122.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 53c | 120.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 15c | 119.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 31c | 114.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 113.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…bafbbacked No | 47c | 111.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 107.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 101.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 59c | 100.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…03d9backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 63c | 97.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 32c | 95.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 71c | 95.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5659backed Yes | 32c | 93.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…87edbacked No | 19c | 93.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…72f8backed Yes | 28c | 92.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 38c | 86.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…1586backed Yes | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 15c | 74.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 74.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 22c | 73.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d364backed No | 57c | 73.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 21c | 68.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 59c | 66.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 74c | 61.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…2783backed Yes | 26c | 60.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 30c | 60.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 35c | 58.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 61c | 58.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 60c | 57.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…745fbacked Yes | 50c | 57.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…e738backed Yes | 70c | 55.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 42c | 52.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 37c | 51.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 50c | 48.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 48.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…af53backed No | 64c | 48.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 38c | 47.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 27c | 47.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed Yes | 70c | 47.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 301 | 44.9%135 W · 166 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Yes | 30c | 46.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 45.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…17fbbacked Yes | 36c | 44.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…7265backed No | 71c | 44.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 43.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 79c | 43.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 35c | 41.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 50c | 39.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 44c | 38.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…5858backed Yes | 27c | 38.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +189.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 54c | 38.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…ffdfbacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 33c | 37.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…315fbacked No | 75c | 36.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 36.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 70c | 34.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 58c | 33.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…3436backed No | 44c | 31.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…7d23backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…7b4fbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…0b94backed Yes | 57c | 29.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed No | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c507backed Yes | 50c | 28.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…a622backed Yes | 50c | 28.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.