TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6cf…66c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tweets, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT9341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$374.7
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.23
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$131.97
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+211.4%+$67.9
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$123.99
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.63
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.3
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$233.89
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.06
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$77.36
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.02
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$17.08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$125.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$57.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+166%+$666.66
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.35
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.42
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.99
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$30.22
Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25%+$31.74
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.7%+$44.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$47.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$91.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.