Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5a605a47cade5cb82d4eb37a3d3aab9d18a68060c78bd9ca379410675799384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,582 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 42c | 3,361$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.22 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 36c | 1,553$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.31 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…1b43backed Yes | 56c | 1,383$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes | 65c | 1,111$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.15 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 812.95$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 699.98$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.99 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 33c | 697.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.49 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 667.93$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 35c | 665.29$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 34c | 490.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 38c | 473.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…e99cbacked No | 42c | 455.76$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…dedabacked Yes | 16c | 444.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 23c | 442.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 23c | 435.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 74c | 418.24$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 33c | 408.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 26c | 381.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…fc9bbacked Yes | 44c | 339.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 335$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 43c | 303.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 21c | 300.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 80c | 287$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed No | 74c | 268.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 33c | 264$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 21c | 256.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…52afbacked Yes | 58c | 255.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed Yes | 20c | 245$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…8f5dbacked No | 59c | 220$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 199.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 25c | 195$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 36c | 194$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 191 | 41.4%79 W · 112 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 28c | 190.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…72a0backed Yes | 17c | 179.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 7.6%11 W · 134 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 26c | 178.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 178.54$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 27c | 177.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc298…250dbacked Yes | 58c | 173.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…a810backed No | 66c | 173.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 166.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 159.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 27c | 156$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…7f5fbacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 63c | 149.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…ecd2backed Yes | 35c | 139.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…946fbacked No | 46c | 137$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…df83backed No | 46c | 134$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 25c | 131.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 50c | 131.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…04e3backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…c30dbacked Yes | 25c | 121.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 120.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 33c | 111.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…06d7backed Yes | 19c | 104.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 69c | 102.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…0060backed Yes | 51c | 102.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 56c | 100.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 40c | 100.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…2a23backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d4…0787backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…20a4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…9110backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…8cebbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…ff6ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…c62fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…985abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…da0fbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d6…1cc8backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…ea65backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 21c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…6761backed Yes | 23c | 95.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 8cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes | 28c | 94.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 93.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…9635backed Yes | 35c | 91.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed No | 56c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153c…3759backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 38c | 87.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 334 | 15.6%52 W · 282 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 28c | 86.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…de4dbacked No | 59c | 85.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…b1f3backed No | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…8a70backed Yes | 50c | 81.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6737…2e6abacked No | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked No | 40c | 77.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 59c | 75.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…006abacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…eb8cbacked Yes | 40c | 74.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…0af5backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.