TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x11d6…1cc8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.2
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.1
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$369.6
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.6
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$360.4
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.8
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$498.75
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.8
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$206.4
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$28.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$67.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.