AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5072d0bf27763754b734c63255c4cbbba79d9d09b214accf33ecc79b88b1d108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,197,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,578,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,197,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 920 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 16c | 54,601$8,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,601.25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 23c | 51,136$11,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,852.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 17c | 49,047$8,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,126.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…4069backed No | 1c | 30,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Yes | 80c | 27,805$22,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,656.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1f86backed No | 18c | 16,598$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…6f73backed Yes | 70c | 15,145$10,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…3075backed Yes | 80c | 13,000$10,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 79c | 11,117$8,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.64 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 79c | 9,975$7,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.91 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 79c | 8,980$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.38 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…3ebbbacked Yes | 64c | 7,556$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…6caabacked Yes | 79c | 7,113$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 79c | 7,000$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 73c | 6,805$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…a9dfbacked No | 1c | 6,154$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 72c | 6,151$4,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 15c | 5,734$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.49 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 16c | 5,322$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.57 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Yes | 77c | 5,246$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 15c | 5,063$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.62 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 7c | 4,687$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.04 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 2c | 4,351$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…7c4ebacked Yes | 78c | 4,339$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 4,266$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.61 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 18c | 4,009$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.32 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 77c | 3,946$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 77c | 3,828$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.05 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 18c | 3,451$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.88 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 79c | 3,376$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.52 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 3,157$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 31c | 3,129$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.35 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 18c | 3,086$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.91 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked No | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…90d9backed Yes | 66c | 2,864$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked No | 27c | 2,852$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.9 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,631$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…ae4bbacked No | 2c | 2,604$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 2,556$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.75 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9305…e605backed Yes | 75c | 2,456$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 76c | 2,153$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.69 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2f…6a9dbacked No | 8c | 2,133$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 1c | 2,133$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…ee82backed Yes | 74c | 2,095$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 7c | 2,080$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 16c | 2,069$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.15 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe073…abb2backed No | 2c | 2,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…183cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…eba6backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 19c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.97 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 76c | 1,987$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0961…5c68backed Yes | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…d7a5backed No | 18c | 1,946$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 1,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…a840backed Yes | 78c | 1,708$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8c…a00bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,692$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 23c | 1,681$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.17 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…8116backed Yes | 64c | 1,666$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…3e26backed No | 3c | 1,664$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked No | 53c | 1,663$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.65 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…0348backed Yes | 63c | 1,595$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…81aabacked Yes | 80c | 1,590$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 16c | 1,576$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…d9ecbacked Yes | 78c | 1,533$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…1b6bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,527$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…6cc2backed Yes | 80c | 1,500$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…36cbbacked No | 17c | 1,479$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…cffdbacked Yes | 77c | 1,457$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…8e0ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,446$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 20c | 1,442$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.34 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…dc8dbacked No | 24c | 1,437$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 24c | 1,413$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…5a89backed Yes | 79c | 1,400$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…98b0backed Yes | 80c | 1,377$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…4c1abacked No | 2c | 1,354$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked No | 20c | 1,353$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.08 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 78c | 1,334$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.22 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 29c | 1,327$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.01 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…e623backed Yes | 59c | 1,285$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.06 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…6206backed Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…b89cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,281$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9c…32e2backed Yes | 79c | 1,258$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4d…820bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,254$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…feb7backed Yes | 80c | 1,240$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…1243backed Yes | 79c | 1,240$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 79c | 1,215$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.85 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Yes | 79c | 1,212$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1aa…9cdcbacked No | 8c | 1,188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f4…2e5ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,128$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…ebc3backed Yes | 80c | 1,111$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9064…c1acbacked Yes | 68c | 1,109$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,088$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.48 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0256…2b78backed Yes | 79c | 1,078$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed No | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4310…37e1backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…b348backed Yes | 79c | 999.98$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.