AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6176e61dc008476c102b63a254d228a19a131c7d209a22444b9c4c7132f78da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,185,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $845,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,185,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 59,998$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 2c | 56,829$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.53 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 2c | 36,404$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.03 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 29,547$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.33 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 29,496$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…2e2abacked Yes | 1c | 26,611$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc656…aa88backed Yes | 1c | 25,328$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…213bbacked Yes | 5c | 21,055$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 3c | 18,537$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.38 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 17,844$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 16,534$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 15,804$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 15,803$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.46 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 13,350$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e64…fc32backed Yes | 4c | 12,205$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 7c | 11,749$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.49 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 11,300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…a52cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,174$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…75f7backed Yes | 3c | 10,088$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…d58dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…5871backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…5bc6backed Yes | 7c | 9,741$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 2c | 8,992$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 8,900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 1c | 8,433$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 8,179$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 7,278$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.71 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…f38ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,430$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,406$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…d2d3backed Yes | 1c | 6,299$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 5,765$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…5a2dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,294$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,245$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,197$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…2b5cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,045$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,520$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 2c | 4,508$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…47e8backed Yes | 3c | 4,226$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf7…7ba9backed Yes | 15c | 4,126$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…b6aabacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…12dabacked Yes | 3c | 3,750$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 3,724$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ad…e1ccbacked Yes | 17c | 3,646$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 3,461$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…e516backed Yes | 1c | 3,425$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 2c | 3,419$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Yes | 3c | 3,300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 8c | 3,300$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 1c | 3,230$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 2c | 3,208$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 2c | 3,120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3795…ed05backed Yes | 3c | 3,113$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…efc7backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 5c | 2,648$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…edd9backed Yes | 2c | 2,606$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…a99ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,550$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc216…7ad8backed Yes | 3c | 2,523$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…5bbfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,504$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…056cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,403$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…3c2dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,346$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes | 3c | 2,189$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…7789backed Yes | 3c | 2,167$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 16c | 2,073$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.79 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…a7febacked Yes | 1c | 2,048$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…28e0backed Yes | 17c | 1,997$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…c29dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,965$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 5c | 1,956$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,950$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…8378backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 3c | 1,779$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…bb20backed Yes | 3c | 1,751$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…73d2backed Yes | 4c | 1,750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6fa8backed Yes | 3c | 1,717$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8843…f078backed Yes | 6c | 1,694$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…d06fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,684$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…22dbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,679$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…8c95backed Yes | 3c | 1,615$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…03eebacked Yes | 1c | 1,613$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…5d5fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,555$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 2c | 1,533$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,509$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…7bcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,502$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…d0e9backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…1c4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…eec5backed Yes | 1c | 1,489$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,465$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,433$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…03b5backed Yes | 3c | 1,362$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…8c12backed Yes | 20c | 1,318$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb8…7b06backed Yes | 4c | 1,317$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 4c | 1,315$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…b14bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,313$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,312$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…173fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Yes | 5c | 1,299$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 6c | 1,250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes won
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.