TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6743…4ccb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$840
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87.52
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.08
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$225
Will Brentford vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+99.7%+$402.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$690
Will Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+900%+$1,800
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.97
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will West Ham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$246.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.2%+$193.49
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$215.85
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$212
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$425.28
Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$188
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+92.3%+$19.38
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+284.6%+$51.23
Will Arsenal beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+27%+$8.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$884.48
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.95
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cho Tae-yong in jail by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+115.1%+$21.4
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.2
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.62
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$2,019.85
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$445.49
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,150
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.72
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.87
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$564.27
Will FWOG be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$117.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+147.3%+$147.28
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.59
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,047Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+42.5%+$1,294.63
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+170.3%+$170.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.89
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.26
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.59
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.62
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$382
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 5 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+81.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11,243.96
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,890.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.