Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4126ce9dc772c3eb415bc5dca067e94dec405e811bd023200e37f8cd58c876de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $866,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $866,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 782 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 47c | 195,796$92,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,771.94 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 54c | 124,792$67,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,739.64 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 53c | 111,444$59,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,065.32 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…a199backed Yes | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,999.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 45c | 83,533$37,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,884.1 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 75,110$40,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,148.88 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 47c | 50,078$23,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,472.27 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 46c | 40,077$18,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,610.85 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 44c | 32,915$14,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,328.13 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 40c | 29,999$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.76 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 51c | 25,821$13,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,137.58 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Yes | 56c | 22,586$12,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,647.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 18,969$8,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,615.57 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 58c | 18,428$10,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,735.65 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 44c | 18,027$7,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,095.03 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 53c | 11,618$6,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,173.64 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 11,615$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197.27 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 56c | 11,100$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 47c | 9,946$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.17 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 49c | 9,500$4,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 44c | 9,355$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,238.54 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 55c | 8,523$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 44c | 8,483$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.66 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…f674backed Yes | 24c | 8,318$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 44c | 7,778$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.9 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 46c | 7,642$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.82 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.97 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf52a…6abebacked Yes | 55c | 7,006$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 53c | 6,618$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.64 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 53c | 6,437$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.73 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 51c | 6,125$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.14 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.89 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed No | 47c | 5,990$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 46c | 5,744$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.17 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 67c | 5,243$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.24 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 48c | 4,624$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.25 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 4,623$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.92 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 53c | 4,340$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c75…e37dbacked Yes | 55c | 4,009$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 74c | 3,952$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.39 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…b8a1backed Yes | 51c | 3,758$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 55c | 3,266$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.97 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 77c | 2,927$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.26 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 52c | 2,700$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,663$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 46c | 2,612$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 44c | 2,600$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.95 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 44c | 2,546$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 55c | 2,517$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.24 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 46c | 2,444$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.93 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 56c | 2,321$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.97 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.94 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,149$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 54c | 2,107$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 39c | 2,069$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 45c | 2,046$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.3 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 55c | 2,001$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.29 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 56c | 1,979$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.38 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 53c | 1,884$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.3 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 77c | 1,849$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.33 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Yes | 55c | 1,830$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,815$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 45c | 1,810$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,794$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 55c | 1,786$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 56c | 1,675$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 46c | 1,648$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 55c | 1,605$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.49 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.97 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 43c | 1,481$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694e…8d20backed Yes | 17c | 1,411$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 44c | 1,342$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…53c4backed Yes | 56c | 1,310$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.76 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Yes | 28c | 1,303$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 29c | 1,284$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.19 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…bee0backed Yes | 53c | 1,259$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…03c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,229$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 35c | 1,177$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.88 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 1,154$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.54 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.43 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.