TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb960…b8a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$22.6
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$35.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$139.9
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$229
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+91%+$272
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,916.36
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$221.89
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.46
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.46
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$103.37
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.75
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$125.15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.39
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.09
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.12
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.85
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.66
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$24.15
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+131.7%+$658.54
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.2%+$63.74
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.5%+$111.77
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$52.64
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+138.1%+$136.12
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$79.24
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55.6
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.7%+$91.89
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$754.52
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$179.87
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$166.43
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,036.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Invictus Gaming win Demacia Cup 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+400%+$80
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$233.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$98.9
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76.38
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$321.24
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.71
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$55.88
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,518.56
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+96.8%+$2,122.16
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$749.16
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$340.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick47cpaid+65%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$28.5
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.98
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$28.5
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-74.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$579.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.