TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0aa3…64e9backed No45c16,773$7,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,547.72733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No48c14,796$7,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,050.7852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Yes55c12,596$6,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c8,857$4,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,086.3944952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No44c8,540$3,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,789.849265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes56c8,038$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c4,932$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.953,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes54c4,566$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.191361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes53c3,698$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.812958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes56c3,578$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.6119934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No47c2,401$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.1884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No44c1,999$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.688946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes54c1,990$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.43259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No52c1,818$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.034042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No46c1,738$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.553745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes54c1,644$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.443360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes55c1,357$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.4310360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed No49c1,030$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes54c831.95$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.74639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes55c815.66$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.0533847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No44c792.41$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.666558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No45c777.95$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6842844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.726637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes55c726.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.372560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked No14c697.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.632334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No47c695$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.58420.2%17 W · 67 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-51.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes41c666.67$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.671735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No42c624.71$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.315518.2%10 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes42c615.52$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.051637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5344…c194backed Yes39c593.35$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes32c558.03$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.463852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes55c526$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.82576%19 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+43%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes47c506$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+167.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6102…7661backed Yes55c503$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No43c460.03$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.316139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.510757%61 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed Yes56c443.81$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.81785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes56c369.18$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.488658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes49c367.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.351464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes55c362$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.912545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c352.48$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.352,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes55c319.8$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes49c306.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.332951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1568456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes53c275.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.474443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.733545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed No47c261.4$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes59c260$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.66046.7%28 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes59c259.98$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1111644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No46c236.18$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.21816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes36c224.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.172138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0284…8384backed Yes57c215.79$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe776…c379backed No79c211.68$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes58c207.04$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0414352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes49c205.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.851637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314949%24 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes53c186.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.931855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes58c186.21$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.992944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742d…66b0backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes56c180.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.161546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes56c179.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.021464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e79…089bbacked No46c154.49$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes56c152.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+66.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.517855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked No45c134$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.32128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes79c133$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.521764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…842fbacked Yes53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+83.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Yes55c128.35$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.765151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes48c126.25$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.656323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd586…8d99backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No48c119$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.615337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes57c109.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1411130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Yes56c107.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+45.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.144052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes58c103.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3875…ea76backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977e…f89fbacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+199.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes55c99.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.662825%7 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes54c98.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.451855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.044858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f3…48e4backed Yes55c90.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.