TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0284…8384

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$78.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+158.1%+$140.43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50.58
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+131%+$74.75
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$63.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$42.67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$46.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$33.32
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$63.26
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$84.98
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+156.4%+$57.47
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7.52
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$729.99
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.86
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$69.86
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26.56
Blackhawks vs. Flamesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$233.49
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.13
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.44
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Eubank Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$74.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+76.9%+$93.79
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$149.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$68.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.